200-day simple moving average should contain lows

  • EUR / USD’s rapid move over 1.2000 found resistance near 1.2080.
  • The casualties are expected to be contained around 1.1910.

EUR / USD set new multi-week highs near 1.2080, but then deflated into negative territory.

The pair gained extra bullish momentum after breaking above the 1.2050 / 64 band, where the 100-day SMA and a Fibonacci retracement (from the November-January rally) converge.

Above the new peaks around 1.2080, the intermediate hurdle lies at 1.2100 before February highs around 1.2240.

Above the 200-day SMA (1.1910), the EUR / USD position is expected to remain positive.

EUR / USD day chart

EUR/USD

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