The conflict between Israel and Hamas completed one year this Monday (7), marking a period of intense geopolitical turmoil in the Middle East.
According to international analyst Fernanda Magnotta, the implications of this conflict are likely to last for many years, possibly representing a significant rupture in the international system.
International Politics
What began as an Israeli reaction against the Hamas group evolved into a broader conflict, involving several paramilitary groups and, potentially, other states.
The analyst observes that there is an imminent conflict with a regional dimension, with the participation of actors who initially did not appear to be directly involved.
Furthermore, Magnotta points to the hesitation of superpowers, such as the United States and Europe, in dealing with the situation, as well as the growing paralysis of international organizations in the face of the crisis.
Israel’s Domestic Policy
Internally, the analyst highlights the Netanyahu government’s failure to recover the hostages and criticism of the excesses committed during military operations. These factors have contributed to weakening the legitimacy of the current government.
Humanitarian Crisis
Finally, Magnotta warns of the worsening of the humanitarian crisis in the region, predicting that the situation will deteriorate further in the coming months.
The complexity and scale of the conflict suggest that a quick resolution is unlikely. The ongoing geopolitical transformations, according to the analyst, could have lasting repercussions, significantly altering the balance of power in the region and beyond.
This content was originally published in Analysis: Conflicts in the Middle East should not be resolved in the short term on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
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