International analyst Lourival Sant’Anna assessed that Hezbollah will not reduce attacks on Israel until a ceasefire is established in the Gaza Strip.
In his analysis of the Now CNN Sant’Anna stressed that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will not call for a ceasefire, and that the situation is consolidating towards intensifying the conflict.
The recent arrival of Gideon Sa’ar to the Israeli government, a staunch opponent of Netanyahu, was highlighted by the analyst as a different move from Benny Gantz’s previous entry into the war cabinet.
While Gantz sought to contribute a more rational approach to the campaign in Gaza, Sa’ar is against the ceasefire and aligns himself more with the government’s current position.
Strengthening the position against the ceasefire
Sant’Anna explained that the entry of Sa’ar and his party into government strengthens the parliamentary majority against an agreement with Hamas.
“Now there are 17 deputies in the cabinet against an agreement between Israel and Hamas. The majority that used to have four chairs goes up to eight chairs, it becomes a little more comfortable”, stated the analyst.
This new composition, according to Sant’Anna, makes an agreement between Netanyahu and Hamas “even more difficult, if not impossible”.
The analyst highlighted that the Israeli prime minister “would immediately fall if he tried to reach such an agreement”.
Escalation of the conflict in Lebanon
Sant’Anna’s analysis also addressed the situation in northern Israel, where more than 60,000 Israelis have been displaced due to Hezbollah attacks.
The analyst sees Netanyahu’s decision to intensify actions against the Lebanese group as an attempt to regain security in the region, as a ceasefire in Gaza is not on the horizon.
“Politically, the situation is even more consolidated in this direction of escalating the conflict with enemies instead of seeking an agreement that returns the 100 Israeli hostages in the hands of Hamas to Gaza,” concluded Sant’Anna, indicating that the majority of hostages are probably still is alive, although some have died.
This content was originally published in Analysis: Hezbollah will not reduce attacks on Israel until there is a ceasefire on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil

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