Analysis: Israel and Hezbollah maintain ceasefire in Lebanon

The recent ceasefire between Israel and the Hezbollah group in Lebanon represents a significant step towards reducing tensions in the region, but is described as a “fragile peace” by experts.

Fernanda Magnotta, CNN International analyst, offered opinions during the CNN 360° this Wednesday (27) about the first hours of this delicate agreement.

According to Magnotta, the ceasefire was a long-awaited move and is welcome, especially considering the humanitarian crisis that the region has been facing. However, she highlights that the consensus among international observers is that this peace remains fragile.

A delicate agreement in a complex scenario

The analyst compares the agreement to “a tiny crystallized layer of ice on top of a deep and very complex lake”. She warns that any sudden movement could break this thin layer and lead everyone back into conflict.

Magnotta explains that the central demands of each of the parties involved in the conflict were not in fact resolved. Differences remain and structural issues, which are extremely complex, could not be addressed at this time.

Costs of war outweigh benefits

What made this agreement possible, according to the analyst, was the understanding on all sides that the costs of the war were exceeding its benefits. This recognition allowed an agreement to be reached, even if delicate.

Despite the fragility of the ceasefire, Magnotta emphasizes its importance in interrupting the cycle of escalation and violence. The next crucial steps involve observing how leaders will commit to this process, given the sensitivity of the situation and the history of similar agreements that have not been successful in the past.

The international community is now closely following the development of this ‘fragile peace’, hoping that it can solidify and pave the way for more comprehensive negotiations in the future.

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This content was originally published in Analysis: Israel and Hezbollah maintain ceasefire in Lebanon on the CNN Brasil website.

Source: CNN Brasil

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