International analyst Lourival Sant’Anna, during the CNN Prime Time stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin is not willing to use nuclear weapons in the conflict with Ukraine. According to Sant’Anna, this is a “reheated, old and absolutely empty” threat.
The expert highlighted that there are doubts about the state of readiness of the Russian nuclear arsenal, monitored by NATO through satellite images and other intelligence tools.
Despite being the largest nuclear arsenal in the world, there are questions about its updating and maintenance.
Strategic consequences of the use of nuclear weapons
Sant’Anna explained that, from a strategic point of view, Putin is aware of the serious consequences of the use of nuclear weapons.
If used against Ukraine, there is a risk of radiation reaching Russia itself due to geographic proximity. An attack on the United Kingdom would result in a devastating response from NATO, which would “obliterate” Russia.
The analyst emphasized that Putin does not have a nihilistic or self-destructive profile. On the contrary, its actions in Ukraine are aimed at its own self-preservation.
The use of nuclear weapons would lead to the end of his regime and probably its physical elimination, including by the Russians themselves.
Psychological warfare and pressure on Western democracies
Putin’s nuclear threats, according to Sant’Anna, are part of a psychological war to put pressure on Western democracies, especially the United States and the United Kingdom.
The aim is to influence public opinion in these countries, generating fear and anxiety among ordinary citizens so that they pressure their governments to limit support for Ukraine.
The expert concluded by stating that there is no possibility of a nuclear war at the moment, but warned that Russia continues to cause civilian casualties in Ukraine on a daily basis.
As winter approaches, Sant’Anna highlighted concerns about Russian attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, a tactic previously used to try to “cold Ukrainians to death.”
This content was originally published in Analysis: Putin is not willing to use nuclear weapons on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
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