The International Analyst of CNN Lourival Sant’Anna offered a detailed analysis of the political situation in Venezuela in WW explaining how Nicolás Maduro’s regime has managed to remain in power for 25 years, despite international criticism and internal opposition.
According to Sant’Anna, the Venezuelan government has managed to create a “fait accompli” by holding a monopoly on force in the country. “The dictatorship clearly does not meet any of the usual formal criteria for saying that it is a legitimate government,” the analyst stated.
The expert highlighted that there is a growing isolation of the Bolivarian regime, with more countries identifying the arbitrary tactics used to perpetuate power. This results in a greater dependence on allies such as China, Russia, Iran, Cuba and, possibly, Brazil.
“The only way to force the regime to fall, to leave, would be through robust economic sanctions, including China, Russia, these countries that make it possible for the regime to survive,” Sant’Anna explained. However, he stressed that such a scenario is unlikely to come to fruition.
Criminalization of the opposition
The analyst also addressed the issue of repression of opposition figures in Venezuela. “Being in the opposition in Venezuela is a crime, and it has been a crime against all opposition leaders,” he said. He explained that anyone who gains political prominence and opposes the regime is considered a criminal.
Sant’Anna concluded that, despite being somewhat weakened and with fewer allies, the Maduro regime “is fully capable of moving forward.” The international system’s inability to enforce the law in Venezuela contributes to maintaining the status quo, according to the expert.
Source: CNN Brasil
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