Recent polls in the swing states of Arizona and Nevada reveal a fierce scenario in voting intentions for the President of the United States, with a tendency in favor of Vice President Kamala Harris in crucial electoral groups.
According to the assessment of international analyst Lourival Sant’Anna during the CNN Prime Time This Tuesday (29), Harris has gained significant support among women, Latinos and young people, three important electoral bases not only in these states, but across the country.
Strategic speech in contrast to Trump
In a symbolic event, Harris is expected to bring together around 50,000 people for a speech that seeks to contrast with Donald Trump’s stance during the events of January 6, 2021.
While the former president is accused of encouraging the invasion of the Capitol, Harris positions herself as a defender of democracy, promising to accept the election results, whatever they may be.
Arizona, with 11 electoral college delegates, has seen a swing in favor of Harris since August. The difference in support between Harris and Trump reaches 16 percentage points among women, who represent half of the American electorate.
Demographic changes impact the electoral scenario
Arizona, traditionally a Republican state, has experienced significant demographic changes in recent years.
The migration of more liberal voters from the East and West coasts to the state has gradually changed the profile of the electorate, making it more competitive for Democrats.
Nevada, with 6 delegates, remains a closely contested state, with a significant Latino electorate, mainly linked to the Las Vegas tourism industry. Despite having voted Democrat in the last two elections, the state continues to be considered a “battleground state”.
The campaign strategy in the United States requires candidates to adapt their messages to the specific concerns of each state, addressing topics such as climate change, the economy and energy policies in a customized way, without falling into contradictions that could cost support in other regions.
This content was originally published in Analysis: Winds blow in favor of Kamala with relevant electorates on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
Bruce Belcher is a seasoned author with over 5 years of experience in world news. He writes for online news websites and provides in-depth analysis on the world stock market. Bruce is known for his insightful perspectives and commitment to keeping the public informed.
