Analyst: Bitcoin price will rise above $ 200,000 in 2025

Cryptoquant Carmelo Aleman, based on historical laws, predicted that the price of the first cryptocurrency will reach $ 205 097 – this will become an extremum of the current market cycle.

According to him, metrics like MVRV, Hodl waves, SOPR or the dynamics of exchange reserves are useful-they “make it possible to understand what is happening in onchain and make reasonable decisions.”

“The constant search for microsignals to extract insights, although it is often useful, sometimes distracts from more large -scale cyclic factors that really affect the long -term dynamics of bitcoin,” Aleman said.

The analyst suggests paying attention to the digital gold yield schedule since 2011 – he demonstrates the repeating cycle: “Three years of growth are replaced by the year of consolidation, which corresponds to the four -year rhythm of halvings.”

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“The significance of the current phase is that, according to this metric, while maintaining the Bitcoin pace characteristic of the third year in 2025, it may increase by 120%. Starting $ 93 226 from the mark, the price can reach $ 205 097 – this will potentially become an extremum of the cycle, ”the specialist suggested.

He believes that the continuation of the trend for a year can make 2025 “The Third in a row by the bull”, thereby completing the next phase of growth.

“This thesis is confirmed by other cyclic indicators – in particular, the realized capitalization, which in 2025 continues to move towards new historical maximums,” Aleman emphasized.

The expert added that the annual profitability schedule allows you to weed out market noise and focus on the cyclic nature of the first cryptocurrency.

“He clearly demonstrates that outside the micrometer and short -term candle models there is a structural rhythm, which Bitcoin follows with amazing regularity: three years of growth are replaced by the year of compression,” the analyst said.

According to him, the long -term prospect helps investors “to remain calm during market fluctuations and it is better to correlate their actions with the historical dynamics of the asset.”

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Source: Cryptocurrency

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