Analyst: Investing in memcoins is now very risky

The crypto space has changed a lot since the 2020-2021 bull market, which saw popular memecoins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and FLOKI soar.

Crypto Koryo, a data scientist, explained how the meme coin market has evolved and why investing in memecoins is now considered a high-risk investment with potentially low returns.

Is it worth investing in memcoins?

In the past, meme coins have benefited from a massive influx of retail investment and limited competition. However, the barrier to creating new coins has dropped significantly, leading to an oversaturation of the market.

“Back then, deploying an ERC-20 token was not something that the average Joe could easily do. But today anyone can do this,” says Koryo.

Statistics back up his claims. Last month, 138 new meme coins were registered on CoinMarketCap, up from just 18 in April 2023. This influx led to the erosion of the potential profitability of individual altcoins. In addition, competition has spread to various blockchain platforms, and even the Bitcoin network now supports memcoins.

New meme coins on CoinMarketCap. Source: Crypto Koryo

Investing in these coins now means navigating a volatile market with many alternatives. Koryo warns that investors need significant portfolio diversification or risk falling to zero value.

“Given that the vast majority of these new meme coins will drop to $0, you need significant diversification if you want to play this game. If there is too little diversification, your portfolio could drop to $0 at any time. There's too much diversification, and even 20x increasing one of them won't make much difference to your PnL metric,” explains Koryo.

In addition, retail investors are now becoming market drivers instead of developers. This means that the dynamics of supply and demand have fundamentally changed. If in 2021 demand significantly exceeded supply, the situation has now reversed, creating a market in which supply exceeds demand.

As a result, memcoins can still bring significant profits, but the chances of success are much lower and the risks are much higher. For most casual investors, the hassle and effort required to stay profitable is too much.

“Undoubtedly, among the thousands of meme coins that enter the market every year, only a few will perform well. The question is, how does this compare to owning Bitcoin or some blue chip?” – concluded Koryo.


Source: Cryptocurrency

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