Analysts are waiting for the fall of bitcoin and growth Ethereum

The Bitcoin course is at the “decision point”, and it is important for the asset to get out of the current price corridor. This opinion was presented by analyst James Chek.

“We are directly at the decision -making point, and in order to convince people of a lower maximum or continuation of the bull trend, only one large red or green candle is enough,” the expert explained.

According to Glassnode, 88% of the first cryptocurrency proposal is “in profit” regarding the quotations of the last transaction. The value signals about the reboot of the expectations of investors without large -scale surrender.

The MVRV indicator rolled back to the long -term average value of 1.74, historically related to the phases of consolidation.

“This marks the cooling of unrealized profits, similar to the closure of positions in August 2024, and may serve as a support in case of maintenance of the level,” the analytical company said.

At the time of writing, digital gold is traded in the area of ​​$ 94,000. After an attempt to test $ 98,000, the rate was adjusted to the values ​​recorded at the end of April.

The senior researcher in Glassnode under the nickname Cryptovizart noted that the rally to the $ 93,000-96,000 range raised the volume of profit-level fixing above statistical levels.

“The fact that the price still exceeds $ 93,000 is very amazing, but, in my modest opinion, is also risky,” he emphasized.

Macroeconomics makes adjustments

Bitcoin traders expect news about the progress of trade negotiations between the United States and China. This was announced by Coindesk by LVRG Research Director Nick Cancer.

“Investors can be excessively careful about risky assets like cryptocurrencies due to the current macroeconomic climate in the United States, despite the fact that the BTC trend is coming off the correlation with American actions,” he said.

At the weekend, the Chinese Ministry of Trade said that he was considering the proposal of the United States to resume negotiations. President Donald Trump hinted that Beijing “wants to make a deal.”

“We are still optimistic that prices will rise to new maximums in the long run, since institutional acceptance is deepened thanks to RWA -release and integration with crypto platforms,” the Cancer added.

Despite the skeptical mood of players in the Polymarket forecast market, they are skeptical (20% of the probability of agreement between the two largest economies in the world), Yuan “on the news” strengthened to a half -year maximum.

Glassnode previously called on Bitcoin-Books “Caution”. Analysts indicated that it is necessary to make sure that price consolidated above $ 91,000-93,000 due to the “weak” impulse in purchases.

According to experts, the levels of $ 93,000–95,000 are the level of short -term holders of short -term holders are $ 93,000–95,000 Levels are a “decisive battlefield” for the dynamics of the market.

“They are a critical point of the excess that must be kept. The inability to stabilize will return the price back to the consolidation range, and many investors in significant unrealized losses, ”Glassnode noted.

From the Pectra hardforte, they expect an impulse for Ethereum

On March 10, the long-term holders accumulating Ethereum “switched to the territory of unrealized losses”, Kryptoquant Kryptoquant Karmelo Aleman Santan drew attention

But by May 3, this category of users only increased the total balance from ~ 15.5 million ETH to ~ 19 million ETH.

“The behavior reflects the structural conviction and clear expectations of short -term growth,” the expert believes.

Ethereum developers planned on May 7 activation of the Pectra hardforte. The upgrade includes a series of improvements aimed at increasing the convenience and effectiveness of the network. One of the important innovations is the addition of the functionality of smart contracts to the wallets, which simplifies their use and restoration.

Since the beginning of the year, ether has steadily lost positions in relation to bitcoin. But on the eve of the hardforn, the “Bolinger Strips” indicator sharply narrowed.

Ethbtc_2025-05-05_16-51-21

The metric signals the upcoming increase in volatility in the asset. The trend largely depends on the direction in which the price breaks out of the designated corridor, noted the co -controling editor of Coindesk Omkar Godbul.

In his opinion, Pectra is a factor in the potential price movement.

“L2 networks will gain the most benefit. Dear the capacity of BLOB objects and making the calls more expensive, Pectra fixes binary arrays as a standard for publishing consolidated data. This enhances the role of Ethereum as a level of data accessibility and strengthens the scaling strategy, ”Nansen analysts noted.

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Source: Cryptocurrency

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