Analysts: Bitcoin has reached a local bottom

The price of the first cryptocurrency is believed to have hit a local bottom before recovering to a high of nearly $66,000 earlier this week, reports The Block with reference to the CryptoQuant report.

Bitcoin’s recent price drop to around $55,000 has resulted in the largest realized losses for holders of the asset in 2024, analysts say.

“Digital gold hodlers recorded $2.5 billion in losses over two days last week, while profit realization remained minimal compared to March. Realization of large losses is usually a sign of sellers capitulating and is associated with price lows,” the experts noted.

Bitcoin Realized P&L. Data: CryptoQuant.

They added that last week, unrealized trader margins fell to -17%, the lowest since the FTX crash (November 2022).

“Prices typically bottom when traders’ profits fall to extremely negative levels,” the analysts said.

Positive forecasts

The report says that various Bitcoin metrics have bounced off key levels recently, which is also a sign that the local bottom is behind us and that upward price momentum is ahead.

“The Bitcoin P/L Index crossed above its 365-day moving average, while the Bull/Bear Market Cycle indicator broke above its 30-day equivalent. The Metcalfe Price Assessment Bands acted as support for the second time this year,” CryptoQuant noted.

A spoon of tar

The report also found that liquidity in the form of stablecoins is still insufficient to fuel meaningful growth.

“A necessary condition for a sustainable Bitcoin rally is stablecoin liquidity,” the experts emphasized.

In their opinion, USDT’s market cap is not growing enough, which “reduces the likelihood of a more significant price increase.”

But at the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin is trading around $63,730. Over the past seven days, the asset has grown by ~11%, according to CoinGecko.

Earlier, Bitwise’s investment director predicted that digital gold would rise to $100,000 by the end of the year.

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Source: Cryptocurrency

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