Analysts shared their cryptoprognizes

In the crypto is expected to continue a positive growth trend, which can raise the price of bitcoin to levels above $ 125 thousand already in May 2025. This conclusion was reached by respondents “RBC-Crypto” Experts, noting the risks of falling by $ 95 thousand in June against the backdrop of monetary policy in the United States. A predominantly positive scenario has become possible, in their opinion, due to weakening in the issue of trade wars and fundamental factors in the main cryptocurrency market.

The price of bitcoin (BTC) recorded a continuous five -story growth that began in early April, when the quotes marked the annual minimum below $ 75 thousand. According to May 12, the cost of BTC on the Binance exchange (16:40 Moscow time) amounted to about $ 104 thousand, located a few percent of the historical maximum. During the same time, the capitalization of the total crypto rush increased by about 40% to the level of almost $ 3.4 trillion.

All experts noted positive market moods. According to the manager of the SWR Capital Viktor Pershikov, the situation reflects the influence of fundamental factors that have been accumulated for the past few months, including the increase in the demand for cryptocurrency from large investors in the over-the-term market, stable tributaries in the crypto-metf and improving the news and political background related to trade wars.

“Based on the results of a significant drop in prices in March-April, at the moment we are observing the restoration of the cryptocurrency market, which may well develop into the continuation of the pharmacy, and bring the market capitalization to $ 4 trillion, and the BTC to the level of $ 130 thousand,” the expert noted, adding that there may be a containing factor for further growth, a monetary policy pursued a monetary policy pursued Federal Reserve System of the United States (Fed).

It is unwrittenness to quickly reduce credit rates by the Fed can restrain the further increase in prices, Perschikov believes: “The position of the US President and the Federal Customs Code is not homogeneous and pursues different goals, as a result, without giving a chance for tributaries of new liquidity to financial markets. At the moment, this factor is not enough, so we are observing only a short -term increase in prices, for the continuation of which new sources of liquidity are needed. ”

China and geopolitics

A significant role is played by the geopolitical situation in the world, especially the trade relations of large countries, such as China and the USA. The head of Tehnobit, Alexander, called the improvement atmosphere in the geopolitical arena, one of the most important factors affecting the growth of bicopian:

“Trump agreed with China on a 90-day decrease in tariffs. The news gave the financial market a break from probable shocks. The result is the growth of bitcoin to the local maximum. ”

A separate role was sent to US President Donald Trump, who could “try to correct the mistakes of past months”, which led to the fall of stock markets:

“The president has repeatedly hinted to investors on the appropriateness of buying shares now, supposedly on the eve of the rapid growth of the market. There is reason to believe that the politician will try to keep his promises. And against the background of the shock from the tariff war, the effect can be even brighter. ”

The expert also added that given all the circumstances set out, “you should not exclude a bold forecast for bitcoin growth to $ 125 thousand during May.”

Risks and the Fed

Despite the general positive, experts noted the risks associated precisely with the expectations of certain events. The co -founder of the Encry Foundation Roman Nekrasov noted that traditionally the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin, demonstrates an increase in significant events on the eve of significant events – amid the expectations and speculative mood of investors.

“It is the expectation, not the event itself, often becomes a key driver of price movement. The market participants lay the alleged consequences of future decisions or news in quotes in advance. Given the growth of the Bitcoin share in the general capitalization of the cryptorrhist, it can be assumed that the first cryptocurrency will try to gain a foothold above $ 110 thousand. In early June, but then the period of increased volatility may come when Bitcoin loses part of the conquered positions, ”the expert wrote.

Nekrasov considers the Federal Corporate for the Credit rate in the United States, expected in June, the main event for the potential “Fixing profit”.

“A week before the Fed, Bitcoin holders may prefer to fix the profit received from the current growth. As a result, Bitcoin by mid -June may return to $ 100 thousand and even drop to $ 95 thousand. But if the United States reaches agreements with China and duties continue to decline, Bitcoin will receive additional support and growth impetus – then the price will remain in the six -digit zone. ”

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