AUD/USD plummets to 0.6500 support zone after US CPI release

  • Strong US CPI figures have sent the Australian Dollar down.
  • The US CPI accelerated 0.4% in March, compared to expectations of 0.3%. Annual inflation jumps to 3.5% from 3.2% the previous month
  • AUD/USD is under pressure again, with 0.6480 and 0.6445 support levels in bears' sights

The Australian Dollar recorded a sharp reversal on Wednesday. Higher-than-expected inflation levels in the US have endorsed the Fed's “higher for longer” stance, crushing risk assets such as the Australian dollar.

Consumer inflation accelerated in the US in March, with an overall rise of 0.4%, compared to expectations of 0.3%. In year-on-year terms, consumer prices rose 3.5%, compared to 3.2% in February. Core inflation accelerated to 0.4% from 0.3% the previous month, while the annual rate remained stable at 3.8%.

These levels confirm that the Fed still has work to do to push inflation towards its 2% target, and all but scuttle the markets' view of three rate cuts in 2024 starting in June.

Later today, the Fed's monetary policy minutes will be analyzed from another perspective after the CPI data. On Friday, the PPI will provide more information on the inflation outlook, although the Fed's Bostic and Williams, both on the committee's hawkish side, could attract investors' attention.

The technical picture looks increasingly bearish as the pair is on track to register a strong negative candle today. The 0.6480-0.6500 area could serve as support for the pair before the major bearish target, 0.6445. Resistances are located at 0.6550 and 0.6635.

AUD/USD

Overview
Latest price today 0.6506
Today Daily Change -0.0123
Today's daily variation -1.86
Today's daily opening 0.6629
Trends
daily SMA20 0.6557
50 daily SMA 0.6545
SMA100 daily 0.6604
SMA200 Journal 0.6545
Levels
Previous daily high 0.6644
Previous daily low 0.6599
Previous weekly high 0.6619
Previous weekly low 0.6481
Previous Monthly High 0.6667
Previous monthly low 0.6478
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 0.6627
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.6616
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6603
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6578
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6557
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6649
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.667
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6695

Source: Fx Street

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