AUD/USD plunges towards 0.6800 after FOMC Minutes

  • The Minutes showed that some Federal Reserve officials wanted a 50 basis point rate hike.
  • The concerns of policy makers are linked to a tense labor market and the inflation risks discussed are tilted to the upside.
  • AUD/USD Price Analysis: It rallied towards 0.6830 before reversing its trajectory and hitting a fresh weekly low around 0.6801.

He AUD/USD extended its losses during the session on Wednesday and fell near the daily low of 0.6808 after the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes, which revealed that “few participants” were in favor of a rate hike of 50 bp. At the time of writing these lines, the pair AUD/USD trades at 0.6826.

FOMC Minutes Summary

The FOMC revealed in its minutes that some Federal Reserve officials wanted a more aggressive rate hike, with the minutes citing that “a few participants were in favor of raising rates by 50 basis points.” Furthermore, all Fed board members agreed that more rate hikes were needed to reach the Fed’s target and that balance sheet shrinking would continue according to plan.

Fed officials reiterated that inflation risks remain skewed to the upside, such as China’s reopening and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and reiterated that the labor market remains tight. Participants stated that the economic outlook is weighed down, with some participants seeing recessionary prospects in 2023.

AUD/USD Reaction to FOMC Minutes

The 1 hour chart for AUD/USD shows a rally towards 0.6832 before AUD/USD reversed course, breaking south of the daily S1 pivot point at 0.6825. It has to be said that volatility has increased and after hitting a low of 0.6808, AUD/USD is falling hard, with its sights set on a break below 0.6700.

AUD/USD 1-hour chart

AUD/USD Key Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Last price today 0.6803
Today Change Daily -0.0051
today’s daily variation -0.74
today’s daily opening 0.6854
Trends
daily SMA20 0.698
daily SMA50 0.6891
daily SMA100 0.6715
daily SMA200 0.6805
levels
previous daily high 0.692
previous daily low 0.6848
Previous Weekly High 0.703
previous weekly low 0.6812
Previous Monthly High 0.7143
Previous monthly minimum 0.6688
Fibonacci daily 38.2 0.6875
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.6892
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6828
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6802
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6756
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.69
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6946
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6973

Source: Fx Street

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