AUD/USD rebounds from 0.6300 on US employment data and services PMI

  • AUD/USD finds support near 0.6300 amid US Dollar correction.
  • US private payrolls halved in September to 89,000 from the August reading.
  • The US ISM Services PMI came in at 53.6, as expected, but down from the previous release of 54.5.

The AUD/USD pair rebounds after remaining choppy near the round support level around 0.6300 in the early part of the New York session. The pair finds interest from buyers as market mood improves due to a correction in the US Dollar driven by weaker-than-expected employment change data, reported by Automatic Processing agency of Data (ADP).

The S&P 500 opens higher as risk aversion moderated as new US private payrolls in September halved to 89,000 from the August reading. Investors expected a decline in hiring to 153,000. The soft labor market data is expected to moderate expectations for a further increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the remainder of 2023.

On Tuesday, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester reiterated her hawkish stance on the outlook for interest rates. Mester said she is willing to raise interest rates further at the November policy meeting if the economy continues to hold up as it has. Weak labor market data is expected to force policymakers to return to a neutral stance.

The Dollar Index (DXY) corrects to around 106.60 following the weak employment data. Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported services PMI data at 53.6, as expected, down from August’s reading of 54.5. The services PMI data has a significant impact on the Dollar Index, as it represents the services sector, which represents two-thirds of the US economy. New orders fell significantly to 51.8 from the previous release of 57.5.

As for the Australian dollar, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to keep interest rates unchanged has reduced its appeal. The RBA kept interest rates unchanged at 4.10% on Tuesday, despite a rebound in Australia’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) to 5.2% in August due to a rise in oil prices.

AUD/USD

Overview
Latest price today 0.6332
Daily change today 0.0030
Today’s daily variation 0.48
Today’s daily opening 0.6302
Trends
daily SMA20 0.6409
daily SMA50 0.6468
SMA100 daily 0.6582
SMA200 daily 0.6686
Levels
Previous daily high 0.6368
Previous daily low 0.6286
Previous weekly high 0.6501
Previous weekly low 0.6332
Previous Monthly High 0.6522
Previous monthly low 0.6332
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 0.6317
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.6336
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6269
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6236
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6187
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6351
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6401
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6434

Source: Fx Street

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