AUD/USD retreats after US jobless claims and trades around 0.6735

  • The AUD/USD pair fell from 0.6760 on the explosive rise in US Treasury yields.
  • Claims for unemployment benefits in the US continued their downward trend, with numbers below estimates.
  • What is there to watch out for? Australian PMIs, US services PMIs and Fed member statements.

The pair AUD/USD It found resistance around 0.6760, and lost almost 0.40% on Thursday after the release of strong US economic data. The tightness of the labor market and last week’s inflation figures in the US suggest that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) still has some way to go to curb inflation. The AUD/USD is trading around 0.6735.

AUD/USD to end Thursday session with losses

Wall Street will close Thursday’s session with solid gains. However, in the currency space, risk currencies such as the Australian dollar (AUD) took their toll on rising US Treasury yields, with the bond yield at 2.5 and 10 years, remaining above the threshold of 4.08%. Consequently, the greenback rose, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) rising 0.57% to 104.965.

The US agenda revealed that Initial Claims for Unemployment Benefits for the week ending February 25 stood at 190,000, below the 195,000 estimated by analysts. Following the release, US Treasury yields soared above the 4% mark, with 2-year Treasury yields topping out at 4.90%, while the DXY hit a daily high of 105,180.

AUD/USD cut ground and hit a daily low of 0.6706; sellers failed to extend their decline below the daily R1 pivot point of around 0.6707. AUD/USD did recover some ground, however, after Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said the Fed may be in a position to pause by mid-summer.

Bostic added that he expects the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) to peak around 5.00% – 5.25% and reiterated that it will stay there “well into 2024.”

What must be considered?

S&P World Services PMI will be released on the Australian calendar, while data from China with Caixin Services PMI will also weigh on the Australian dollar (AUD). In the US, the Fed data will be released alongside the release of the ISM and S&P Global Services PMI indices.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Last price today 0.6732
Today Daily Variation -0.0022
today’s daily variation -0.33
today’s daily opening 0.6754
Trends
daily SMA20 0.6879
daily SMA50 0.6896
daily SMA100 0.6739
daily SMA200 0.6796
levels
previous daily high 0.6784
previous daily low 0.6695
Previous Weekly High 0.6921
previous weekly low 0.6719
Previous Monthly High 0.7158
Previous monthly minimum 0.6698
Fibonacci daily 38.2 0.675
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.6729
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6705
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6656
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6617
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6794
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6833
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6882

Source: Fx Street

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