AUD/USD rises above 0.6500 again after the NFP.

  • The AUD/USD pair has hit two-month highs as the US Dollar plunges after the NFP.
  • Market sentiment has shifted firmly toward risk appetite as investors no longer fear further Fed rate hikes.
  • Markets expect the RBA to apply an additional 25 basis points.

The pair AUD/USD is setting nine-week highs above the 0.6500 area as AUD takes advantage of USD weakness following the Non-Farm Payrolls release, and market risk-on sentiment is pushing AUD to its sixth green candle. of the last seven consecutive trading days.

Global markets turned the US dollar around, dumping the safe-haven asset and entering riskier assets after a worse-than-expected NFP reading that saw the US add a scant 150,000 jobs in October, below the forecast of 180,000 addition and the collapse of September’s print of 297,000 (revised downward from 336,000) to the worst reading of the indicator since February 2021.

US data down: Risk appetite increases

Cooling US data is helping to confirm that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has ended rate hikes, and investors are now anticipating a future rate cut cycle by the US central bank. Markets expect monetary policy to make borrowing and lending cheaper again, so negative US economic data will continue to be positive for the market as recession factors will push the Fed to cut rates as soon as possible. before.

On Tuesday next week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will announce its latest interest rate decision, and markets expect the Australian central bank to announce a 25 basis point hike as inflation continues. latent in the Australian economy.

AUD/USD Technical Outlook

The Aussie’s technical recovery from October lows near the 0.6300 level has AUD/USD rising halfway towards the 200-day SMA that is currently turning lower at 0.6625.

With AUD/USD cleanly cutting the 50-day SMA near 0.6400, the pair is set to signal a bullish close on Friday near 0.6515.

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/USD technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Latest price today 0.6515
Today I change daily 0.0081
Today’s daily variation 1.26
Today’s daily opening 0.6434
Trends
daily SMA20 0.6357
daily SMA50 0.6391
SMA100 daily 0.6519
SMA200 daily 0.6625
Levels
Previous daily high 0.6456
Previous daily low 0.6389
Previous weekly high 0.64
Previous weekly low 0.627
Previous Monthly High 0.6445
Previous monthly low 0.627
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 0.643
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.6415
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6397
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.636
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.633
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6464
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6493
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.653

Source: Fx Street

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