AUD/USD struggles to regain 0.6500 level despite USD decline

  • The AUD/USD pair is pressured by the weakness of the Australian Dollar.
  • The RBA did not mention the need for further rate hikes in the March policy minutes.
  • Market sentiment remains bearish as expectations for Fed rate cuts in June ease.

The AUD/USD pair struggles to overcome the psychological resistance of 0.6500. The Australian asset is facing pressure despite the US dollar retreating in the European session on Tuesday, having hit four-month highs.

Market sentiment shows investors are risk averse as traders have trimmed bets on Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts at the June policy meeting. Given the negative one-day futures, the S&P 500 is expected to open lower. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose sharply to 4.39%. The US Dollar Index (DXY) retreats from a new four-month high slightly above 105.00 to 104.80.

The short-term appeal of the US dollar is bullish due to the strength of the US economic outlook. The US economy grew at a strong pace of 2.5% in 2023 despite Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rates remaining historically high. Additionally, the stronger-than-expected March Manufacturing PMI has further bolstered the outlook.

On Monday, the US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reported that the manufacturing PMI returned to expansion after 16 consecutive months of contraction.

In today's session, investors will focus on the JOLTS Job Openings data for February, which will be released at 14:00 GMT. Economic data will provide new clues about labor demand. U.S. employers posted an estimated 8.74 million job openings, down from 8.863 million in January.

Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar is facing selling pressure as the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) Monetary Policy Minutes, released in the Asian session on Tuesday, showed that policymakers see no need to more interest rate increases. At the monetary policy meeting, the RBA left its official interest rate unchanged at 4.35%.

AUD/USD

Overview
Latest price today 0.6504
Today Daily variation 0.0015
Today's daily variation 0.23
Today daily opening 0.6489
Trends
daily SMA20 0.6559
50 daily SMA 0.6546
SMA100 daily 0.66
SMA200 Journal 0.6547
Levels
Previous daily high 0.6539
Previous daily low 0.6481
Previous weekly high 0.6559
Previous weekly low 0.6486
Previous Monthly High 0.6667
Previous monthly low 0.6478
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 0.6503
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.6517
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6467
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6445
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6409
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6525
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6561
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6583

Source: Fx Street

You may also like