AUD would likely be punished massively if RBA did not act against persistent inflation – Commerzbank

Commerzbank economists analyze the outlook for the Australian market ahead of next week’s inflation data.

Inflation data will likely be what matters now for the RBA

What matters now for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will likely be third quarter inflation data, due out next week. In particular, the central bank’s new governor, Michele Bullock, has expressed concern about the possibility of inflation rising again.

If next week’s inflation data confirms Bullock’s concerns, a further rate hike in early November is very possible and certainly necessary at that time from the market’s point of view. If the RBA did not act despite these events, the AUD would likely be massively punished by the market.

Source: Fx Street

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