- The Aussie is under pressure amid risk aversion.
- The dollar rises after a losing streak of three days, pending the US CPI.
- AUDUSD falls over a hundred points from Tuesday’s high.
AUDUSD hit a fresh 2-day low during the American session as the US dollar extended gains on the back of risk aversion. It has bottomed at 0.6431. Downside pressure still persists.
Waiting for the CPI figures
On the eve of the publication of the Consumer Price Index for October in the US, the dollar gains support and rises after three days of consecutive losses. So far, the midterm elections have shown no major surprises that have limited market impact. The focus is on tomorrow’s CPI which is expected to show 8% inflation.
Earlier, on Thursday, the Melbourne Institute will publish the Survey of Consumer Inflation and Salary Expectations. Inflation expectations are expected to rise from 5.4% in October to 5.7% in November.
Short term outlook
AUDUSD weakened as Wall Street and metals turned negative on the day. US yields are now lower in a session with no clear direction. If the negative tone prevails in the markets, further losses in the pair seem likely.
On Tuesday, the AUDUSD hit its highest level in seven weeks at 0.6550. The Aussie failed to consolidate above 0.6500 and is back below 0.6450 and also below the 20 SMA on the 4 hour charts. The next support could be located at 0.6405/10.
A recovery above 0.6500 would remove bearish pressure, exposing the recent high at 0.6550, with intermediate resistance at 0.6520.
Technical levels
AUD/USD
Overview | |
---|---|
last price today | 0.6436 |
daily change today | -0.0068 |
Today’s daily variation | -1.05 |
Daily opening today | 0.6504 |
Trends | |
---|---|
daily SMA20 | 0.6363 |
daily SMA50 | 0.6515 |
daily SMA100 | 0.6714 |
daily SMA200 | 0.6966 |
levels | |
---|---|
Previous daily high | 0.6551 |
Previous Daily Low | 0.6444 |
Previous Weekly High | 0.6493 |
Previous Weekly Low | 0.6272 |
Previous Monthly High | 0.6548 |
Previous Monthly Low | 0.617 |
Daily Fibonacci of 38.2% | 0.651 |
Daily Fibonacci of 61.8% | 0.6485 |
Daily Pivot Point S1 | 0.6449 |
Daily Pivot Point S2 | 0.6393 |
Daily Pivot Point S3 | 0.6342 |
Daily Pivot Point R1 | 0.6555 |
Daily Pivot Point R2 | 0.6607 |
Daily Pivot Point R3 | 0.6662 |
Source: Fx Street
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