BoE to make rate cuts of 50 basis points in total by 2024 – TDS

The Bank of England meeting did not surprise the market and was not affected by this week’s stronger-than-anticipated services inflation data, says Pooja Kumra, Senior Europe and UK Rates Strategist at TDS.

BoE meeting comes with almost no surprises

“Today’s BoE meeting came with minimal surprises, with the MPC keeping the Bank rate unchanged by a vote of 7-2 unchanged, as Ramsden and Dhingra continue to favor a cut.”

“Markets appear relieved that this week’s stronger-than-anticipated services inflation data has not derailed the MPC’s rate cut cycle guidance. Indeed, the Committee also acknowledged that stronger-than-anticipated services inflation “what was anticipated was driven by unique salary factors.”

“The short end is now pricing in around 15bps in cuts for the August meeting and around 50bps in total for 2024. We think risks could be ‘finely’ balanced as there is still a lot of information that markets need to absorb before of the next meeting, including the July 4 election and the July 17 CPI data.”

Source: Fx Street

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