Ready to prevail in the second round of the presidential election in Brazilwhich will be held on October 30, features the country’s center-left former president, Luis Inacio Lula da Silvasecuring 53% of the vote against 47% for far-right Jair Bolsonaro, according to a poll by the Datafolha institute.
This survey, the first to be released by the reference institute after the first round on October 2, which was won by Lula (48%), but by a much smaller margin than predicted by Zach Bolsonaro (43%), has a margin of statistical error of ±2%.
Polling institutes were heavily criticized after the election because they did not even come close to the percentage secured by the far-right president in the first round: he was credited with 37% at most.
On the eve of the election, Datafolia predicted that Lula would secure 50% of valid votes (excluding invalids and whites) and Mr. Bolsonaro 36%.
Another research, by the IPEC institute, credited 51% of valid votes to Lula and 37% to the outgoing president before the first round of last Sunday. On Wednesday, the same institute predicted a victory for Lula in the second round with 55% to Jáich Bolsonaro’s 45%.
On election night, celebrating his performance in the first round, Mr Bolsonaro declared that we had “defeated the lies” of the polls. The far-right head of state, who has been seen heading for a heavy defeat for months, has not stopped arguing that pollsters are “lying”.
The Datafolia poll was conducted on a representative sample of 2,884 voters from Wednesday to yesterday.
The second round is announced as tough in the most polarized election in decades in Latin America’s largest nation, both rivals have been plowing the country in recent days to galvanize supporters and persuade undecideds.
Source: News Beast
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