CAD is trading very close to fair value estimate – Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) remains unchanged in the session. A slightly positive risk appetite is a modest plus for the CAD, as are decent session gains for crude oil (up 1%), notes Shaun Osborne, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank.

CAD maintains range

“The CAD remains more dependent on yield spreads and the still significant USD interest rate premium across the curve, a situation that is unlikely to change in the near term. The threat of tariffs looming over the CAD adds downside risks to CAD in the coming months. The fair spot value is currently estimated at 1.4062, suggesting that CAD is right where it should be.”

“Spot value is approximately halfway between the recent price extremes (1.3930/1.4180) and appears relatively flat on the short-term chart. Trend momentum signals continue to favor USD appreciation, which means that USD should remain well supported on dips for now. Support is 1.3990/00 and 1.3930/50 and resistance is 1.4090/00. 1.4175/80.”

Source: Fx Street

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