China: Economic weakness persists in August – UOB Group

The Caixin and official manufacturing PMIs diverged while the official non-manufacturing PMI rose marginally in August, notes UOB Group economist Ho Woei Chen.

Signs of weaker manufacturing activity

“The Caixin and official manufacturing PMIs diverged while the official non-manufacturing PMI rose marginally in August after falling consecutively in the previous four months. Employment and prices weakened for both the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors in August.”

“Signs of weaker activities, particularly for the manufacturing sector, suggest that it will be challenging for China to maintain the 1H24 growth rate of 5.0% for the rest of the year, likely falling short of the official growth target of ‘around 5.0%’ this year.”

“We maintain our GDP growth forecast for 2024 at 4.9% with risks still skewed to the downside.”

Source: Fx Street

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