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China: Nomura cuts GDP growth forecasts for 2022 and 2023

Due to covid risksNomura lowers China’s GDP growth forecasts for 2022 and 2023.

Nomura has lowered China’s GDP growth forecast for 2022 to 2.8% from 2.9%, while that of 2023 has been reduced to 4% from 4.3%.

Nomura’s chief China economist Ting Lu said: “In terms of GDP, almost 20% of the Chinese economy was negatively affected by Covid controls as of Monday, close to the peak of 21.2% recorded in mid- April during the Shanghai lockdown.”

Additional comments

“Recently, Beijing has shown the first signs of willingness to reopenand has implemented some adjustment measures, but reopening can be a lengthy and inconvenient process.”

“Many closures or controls are applied without public announcement.”

“We believe that [el municipio suroccidental de] chongqing is currently experiencing the most severe local lockdown in China, based on our observation of numerous mobility metrics.”

Source: Fx Street

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