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Coronavirus – Britain: “We may see an increase in cases later in the autumn and winter”

Hospitals may find it difficult to cope if there is a significant outbreak of pandemic coronavirus this winter, even if extensive vaccination means deaths will not approach the same levels as last year, one of its leading epidemiologists told Reuters. Of Britain.

THE Neil Ferguson, head of the MRC Center for Global Analysis of Infectious Diseases and the Jameel Institute, at Imperial College London, pointed out that the coming months are “uncertain” about the course of the health crisis.

“We are not completely out of the alley yet. We may see a significant increase in infections later in the autumn and winter, “he said.” I am optimistic that under almost any circumstances not we are going to see a sweeping wave of mortality at this stage. The most difficult question concerns the demand for hospitals. The National Health System already exists several pressures“Or there is still not much potential for accident and emergency management.”

England has averaged about 30,000 daily cases since the end of July. Ferguson said such fixed case numbers are unusual pattern and things can get tough in the winter as people spend more time indoors.

“Particularly unlikely” the return to lockdown

He said that immunity in the population probablyweakens despite being enhanced, but that the effectiveness of vaccines against serious disease is maintained. However, many could be hospitalized for one or two nights, even if their vaccination means they will not need to go to an intensive care unit.

“Every one of these people has additional requirements “from the National Health System,” he said, adding that mask instructions and teleworking instructions may be necessary to reduce the burden on hospitals, although even a complete lockdown is “highly unlikely.”

“It simply came to our notice then limited number of measures to try to stop the transmission όμως but not to get to the point of ‘closing’ the country “.

Reuters notes that the country’s prime minister relies on vaccinating children and providing supportive doses to vulnerable adults to avoid a winter lockdown this year. THE Boris Johnson, recalls, was forced to impose strictly restrictive measures in England three times in order not to overload the National Health System, writes

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