Datafolha did not have much news, but confirmed polarization, says professor

The latest Datafolha poll, released this Thursday (23), shows former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) with 47% of voting intentions in the race for the Planalto Palace. President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) has 28%. There are 100 days left for the elections, which are scheduled for October 2.

In an interview with CNN this Friday (24), political scientist and professor at USP José Álvaro Moisés said that the research did not bring any great news, but confirmed the polarization of the electoral process.

“My impression is that these data confirm the polarization that has been consolidating for months. It is not a big novelty, but it is a confirmation that polarization has imposed itself,” she said.

First shift (Datafolha)

Stimulated voting intention for president

Scenario I

• Lula (PT) – 47%
• Bolsonaro (PL) – 28%
• Ciro Gomes (PDT) – 8%
• André Janones (Forward) – 2%
• Simone Tebet (MDB) – 1%
• Pablo Marçal (Pros) – 1%
• Vera Lucia (PSTU) – 1%
• Felipe d’Avila (New) – 0
• Sofia Manzano (PCB) – 0
• Leonardo Pericles (UP) – 0
• José Maria Eymael (DC) – 0
• Luciano Bivar (Union Brazil) – 0
• General Santos Cruz (Podemos) – 0
• White/Null – 7%
• Don’t know – 4%

The professor draws attention to the rejection numbers pointed out by Datafolha. Jair Bolsonaro has 55% and Lula, 35%, of rejection, according to the latest poll.

“Information about rejection is extremely important because, in a certain sense, it consolidates what appeared in the positive results”, pointed out the coordinator of the Research Group on the Quality of Democracy and professor at the Institute for Advanced Studies at USP.

He also detailed what he calls the “division” that exists in the country.

“With regard to the lower-income electorate, in circumstances of great economic difficulty, high inflation, lower and lower income, unemployment, a perspective that I would call a comparative nature is working”, pointed out José Álvaro Moisés.

“Somehow, these voters are comparing what the previous governments of former President Luís Inácio Lula da Silva were like and what they are feeling with the government of President Jair Bolsonaro,” he explained.

The pre-candidates for the Presidency of the Republic in 2022