EUR/AUD Price Forecast: Short-term trend is likely reversing and heading lower

  • EUR/AUD is probably reversing its trend and starting a new downtrend.
  • After peaking on October 31, it formed a bearish candlestick reversal pattern that is currently developing.

EUR/AUD has started to fall after forming a bearish Shooting Star candlestick reversal pattern (red shaded rectangle on the chart below) when it peaked on October 31.

EUR/AUD Daily Chart

Furthermore, a bearish day followed the Shooting Star day and added confirmation.

Since then, EUR/AUD has continued to sell off and there is evidence that it is now in a short-term downtrend. Given the principle that “the trend is your friend”, the odds favor a continuation downwards.

The next target is at 1.6400 and the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), followed by the group of main SMAs below around 1.6350.

The pair may have completed a three-wave “abc” Measured Movement pattern at the October 31 highs, adding further evidence that a bearish cycle is likely taking control.

Source: Fx Street

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