EUR/CAD Price Forecast: Trapped in a range, breakout required for directionality

  • EUR/CAD oscillates within a ten-week range – the trend is sideways.
  • A breakout to the upside or downside would be required to alter the trend to something more directional.

EUR/CAD is bouncing in a ten-week corridor that has a bottom at 1.4890 and a sloping top around 1.5100. That is, the pair is in a sideways trend, limited in a short and medium-term range.

In the long term, the trend is bullish.

EUR/CAD Daily Chart

It will probably continue in its range until it breaks decisively either up or down. The fact that it is in a long-term uptrend would normally marginally favor a breakout to the upside, but the flat bottom of the range negates the bullish bias because it marginally favors a breakout to the downside. In general, there is no obvious bias.

In the event of a breakout to the upside, the pair will likely rise to a target at 1.5319, the 61.8% Fibonacci extrapolation of the height of the upside range. A decisive breakout would be one accompanied by a longer-than-usual green candle that broke clearly above the top of the range and closed near its high, or three green candles that broke above the top of the range.

Alternatively, a decisive break below the range floor is also possible and such a move would likely reach 1.4690, the 61.8% Fibonacci extrapolation to the downside.

Source: Fx Street

You may also like

With Kim Jong Un, Sergei Lavrov met
World
Flora

With Kim Jong Un, Sergei Lavrov met

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov during his current visit to North Korea,