EUR extends profits through the low 1.04s – Scotiabank

The euro (EUR) has managed to advance a little more decisively through the low area of ​​1.04 during the night, with the help of the decrease, for now, of the tariffer concerns and more firm PMI data than expected, reflecting solid data of services in Germany, says Shaun Osborne, Head of FX of Scotiabank.

The PMIS of the Eurozone and the narrower differentials help the earnings of the euro

“The Manufacturing PMI of the Eurozone rose one point to 46.1 while the service decreased slightly to 51.4 in January, carrying the index composed to 50.2. EUR profits are backed by narrower differentials, although still significant. The bond differential At 2 years it has been reduced to –198 basic points, the narrowest since the beginning of November, helping to bring the exchange rate to cash a little more to fair value (1,0592, according to our measure). “

“The cash exchange rate exceeded 1.0 before before retreating slightly, but the key point – technical – here is that the solid EUR profits in the week are being settled more clearly above the low area of ​​1.04 that has limited the Recent gains and also represents the initial resistance of Fibonacci’s recoil from the fall of the EUR from 1.12. “

“The next setback objective is 1,0574 (38.2%), with the low area of ​​1.06 that also probably represents firm resistance.”

Source: Fx Street

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