EUR/GBP is recovered about 0.8530 before the hopes of a possible commercial agreement between the US and the Eurozone

  • The EUR/GBP moves up to 0.8530 as investors feel confident that the US and the Eurozone will soon reach a commercial agreement.
  • Preliminary inflation data from Spain and France for June showed that price pressures grew at a faster rate than expected.
  • The governor of the BOE, Andrew Bailey, has expressed concerns about the perspectives of the United Kingdom labor market.

The EUR/GBP pair recovers its initial losses and moves up around 0.8530 during Friday’s European negotiation hours. The pair wins as the euro (EUR) exceeds its peers, since investors become optimistic in which the United States (USA) and the Eurozone will reach a commercial agreement before the deadline of July 9 for the 90 -day pause in reciprocal tariffs.

Euro price today

The lower table shows the percentage of euro change (EUR) compared to the main currencies today. Euro was the strongest currency against the Australian dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD Aud NZD CHF
USD -0.16% -0.01% 0.13% 0.08% 0.19% 0.03% -0.20%
EUR 0.16% 0.09% 0.27% 0.22% 0.32% 0.05% -0.09%
GBP 0.00% -0.09% 0.20% 0.09% 0.22% -0.00% -0.10%
JPY -0.13% -0.27% -0.20% -0.06% 0.04% -0.28% -0.27%
CAD -0.08% -0.22% -0.09% 0.06% 0.14% -0.17% -0.24%
Aud -0.19% -0.32% -0.22% -0.04% -0.14% -0.27% -0.33%
NZD -0.03% -0.05% 0.00% 0.28% 0.17% 0.27% -0.07%
CHF 0.20% 0.09% 0.10% 0.27% 0.24% 0.33% 0.07%

The heat map shows the percentage changes of the main currencies. The base currency is selected from the left column, while the contribution currency is selected in the upper row. For example, if you choose the euro of the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US dollar, the percentage change shown in the box will represent the EUR (base)/USD (quotation).

A report by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) showed on Thursday that European Union (EU) officials are looking to reach a commercial agreement quickly. The report also showed that leaders are considering concessions on US imports to avoid additional tariffs.

The president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, confirmed that the US shared a new negotiation document and said the block was “ready for an agreement.” However, he clarified that the EU would defend their interests if the conversations failed.

At the domestic sphere, investors expect preliminary data from the harmonized consumer price index (HICP) of the Eurozone for June, which will be published on Tuesday. Inflation data will influence market expectations on the perspective of the monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB).

Meanwhile, the preliminary data of the Consumer Price Index (EU Standard) of France and the HICP of Spain for June have shown that price pressures grew at a faster rate than expected.

In the United Kingdom (RU), the growing concerns about the labor market due to the increase in employers’ contribution to social security schemes could weaken the strength of the sterling pound (GBP). The British currency has had a good performance this week, since the Bank of England (BOE) has remained committed to a gradual monetary road down.

The governor of the BOE, Andrew Bailey, indicated that the Central Bank will remain gradual in future cuts of interest rates and cited inflationary risks and a weakening of the labor market force at a conference at the British Chamber of Commerce (BCC) on Thursday.

Euro Faqs


The euro is the currency of the 19 countries of the European Union that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most negotiated currency in the world, behind the US dollar. In 2022, it represented 31 % of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily business volume of more than 2.2 billion dollars a day. The EUR/USD is the most negotiated currency pair in the world, with an estimate of 30 %of all transactions, followed by the EUR/JPY (4 %), the EUR/GBP (3 %) and the EUR/AU (2 %).


The European Central Bank (ECB), based in Frankfurt (Germany), is the Eurozone reserve bank. The ECB establishes interest rates and manages monetary policy. The main mandate of the ECB is to maintain price stability, which means controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its main tool is the rise or decrease in interest rates. Relatively high interest rates (or the expectation of higher types) usually benefit the euro and vice versa. The GOVERNMENT BOOK of the ECB makes decisions about monetary policy in meetings that are held eight times a year. The decisions are made by the directors of the National Banks of the Eurozone and six permanent members, including the president of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.


Eurozone inflation data, measured by the harmonized consumer prices index (IPCA), are an important economic indicator for the euro. If inflation increases more than expected, especially if it exceeds 2% of the ECB, it forces the ECB to rise interest rates to control it again. Relatively high interest rates compared to their counterparts usually benefit the euro, since they make the region more attractive as a place for global investors to deposit their money.


Published data measure the health of the economy and can have an impact on the euro. Indicators such as GDP, manufacturing and services PMIs, employment and consumer trust surveys can influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the euro. Not only attracts more foreign investment, but it can encourage the ECB to raise interest rates, which will directly strengthen the euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the euro is likely to fall. The economic data of the four largest economies in the euro zone (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, since they represent 75% of the economy of the euro area.


Another important fact that is published on the euro is the commercial balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns with its exports and what you spend on imports during a given period. If a country produces highly demanded export products, its currency will gain value simply by the additional demand created by foreign buyers seeking to buy those goods. Therefore, a positive net trade balance strengthens a currency and vice versa in the case of a negative balance

Source: Fx Street

You may also like