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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Trade below 157.00 in an Evening Star Chart Pattern

  • EUR/JPY falls 0.78% to a three-day low of 156.64 after the ECB raised rates by 25 basis points, but signals caution.
  • Technical outlook turns bearish as Chikou Span crosses below price action and Tenkan-Sen falls below Kijun-Sen.
  • The short-term battle is fought below 157.00; a daily close below could trigger a retest of the weekly low at 156.58.

Late in the American session, the pair USD/JPY fell sharply following the moderate rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB), which raised rates by 25 basis points for the tenth time since the central bank began its tightening cycle. Thus, the currency pair extends its losses of 0.78%, falling to a new three-day low at 156.64, but far from a new weekly low. The pair trades at 156.91.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Technical Outlook

After reaching another lower low, the currency pair has a neutral bias, although it remains above the Ichimoku (Kumo) cloud, which is considered a bullish signal. However, the Chikou Span crossing below the price action and the Tenkan-Sen crossing below the Kijun-Sen give two bearish signals that, added to the market structure, portray the pair as slightly inclined to the downside. .

In the short term, the EUR/JPY hourly chart shows the pair at three-day lows, with bulls and bears battling just below the 157.00 area. If the pair manages a daily close below that level, a retest of the weekly low of 156.58 is expected before the cross extends its losses towards the 156.00 figure. On the other hand, if the currency pair ends the day above 157.00, an upward correction is seen towards 157.52/64, a confluence zone, where the Kijun-Sen, Tenkan-Sen, and the Senkou Span A and B are found before resuming their upward trend.

EUR/JPY hourly chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Last price today 156.92
Today Daily Change -1.30
today’s daily change -0.82
today’s daily opening 158.22
Trends
daily SMA20 158.21
daily SMA50 157.18
daily SMA100 154.33
daily SMA200 148.61
Levels
previous daily high 158.66
Previous daily low 158.01
Previous Weekly High 158.52
previous weekly low 157
Previous Monthly High 159.76
Previous monthly minimum 155.53
Fibonacci daily 38.2 158.41
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 158.26
Daily Pivot Point S1 157.94
Daily Pivot Point S2 157.65
Daily Pivot Point S3 157.29
Daily Pivot Point R1 158.58
Daily Pivot Point R2 158.94
Daily Pivot Point R3 159.23

Source: Fx Street

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