EUR/USD: Almost sideways ahead of ECB policy decision – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is down a bit during the session so far, but losses are marginal ahead of the ECB policy decision, notes Shaun Osborne, chief FX strategist at Scotiabank.

Christine Lagarde to maintain ‘data-driven’ approach

“There is virtually no chance of the ECB cutting interest rates today. Swaps are pricing in a steady policy and comments from top officials have suggested that rate cuts will be made at a measured pace. ECB President Christine Lagarde seems likely to maintain a ‘data-dependent’ approach to the policy outlook, which may sound a bit hawkish amid still relatively elevated inflationary pressures in the services sector.”

“The pair’s exchange rate has eased a bit from yesterday’s peak near 1.0950, but the minor decline is measured and may be taking the form of a small bullish pennant ahead of further gains (above 1.0935/40 this morning).”

“Intraday, daily and weekly trend strength oscillators are aligned bullishly for EUR, suggesting limited downside potential for the pair’s exchange rate and continued risks of a fresh upside push. Support is seen at 1.0900/10. Resistance is seen at 1.0980; above here EUR gains are eyed towards 1.10/1.11.”

Source: Fx Street

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