EUR/USD falls towards 1.0800 after ECB comments, awaiting FOMC decision

  • The EUR/USD loses 0.39%, weighed down by the ECB's comments and the anticipation of the FOMC meeting.
  • The possible policy changes of the ECB cause the fall of the Euro in the currency market.
  • The focus is on the Fed's decision; It is believed that recent inflation in the US and solid economic growth could mark the decision of Powell and company.

The pair EUR/USD extends its losses on Monday, with buyers struggling to keep the exchange rate above the 1.0800 figure amid a quiet trading session ahead of Wednesday's decision by the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). ). Falling US Treasury yields are no excuse for dollar bulls to get a boost; Therefore, the pair is trading at 1.0809, with a decrease of 0.39%.

ECB officials open the door to rate cuts at the next meeting

Comments from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers are taking their toll on the Euro (EUR), as Peter Kazimir noted: “The next move will be a cut, and it is within our reach,” he wrote in a post from your blog. Echoing his comments, Mario Centeno of the ECB added that he prefers to act as soon as possible and be more “gradual” in relaxing policy.

Meanwhile, Klas Knot added: “We now have a credible view that inflation will return to 2% in 2025. The only missing piece is the conviction that wage growth will adapt to that lower inflation.”

Apart from this, the spotlight falls on the decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on Wednesday. It must be said that the Fed's preferred inflation indicator stood at 2.6% year-on-year last Friday, although the underlying figures fell from 3.2% to 2.9% year-on-year, which could open the door for the Fed to soften its policy. However, strong economic growth in the United States could deter Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and company from easing monetary conditions.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Technical Outlook

With EUR/USD setting a new cycle low after breaking the January 23 low at 1.0821, bears have the 100-day moving average (DMA) at 1.0777 in sight. A break below 1.0800 could bring the latter into play. Once these support levels are broken, the next stop would be the December 8 low at 1.0724. On the other hand, if the bulls reclaim the 200-DMA at 1.0841, it could open the way towards 1.0900.

EUR/USD

Overview
Latest price today 1.0807
Daily change today -0.0047
Today's daily variation -0.43
Today's daily opening 1.0854
Trends
daily SMA20 1.0917
daily SMA50 1,092
SMA100 daily 1.0777
SMA200 daily 1.0844
Levels
Previous daily high 1.0886
Previous daily low 1.0813
Previous weekly high 1.0932
Previous weekly low 1.0813
Previous Monthly High 1,114
Previous monthly low 1.0724
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 1.0858
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.0841
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0816
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0778
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0743
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0889
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0924
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0962

Source: Fx Street

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