- The EUR/USD moves up to 1,0950 in the early hours of Thursday’s European session, rising 0.85% in the day.
- Trump said the EU will face 20% under the new Trump policy.
- The operators await the PMI of the US ISM services of March for a new impulse, which will be published later on Thursday.
The EUR/USD pair rises to around 1,0950 during the early hours of the Asian session on Thursday. The dollar weakens against the euro (EUR) after the US president, Donald Trump, announced more aggressive tariffs than expected against US commercial partners.
Trump plans to impose a 20% tariff on EU products and higher taxes on some of the country’s main business partners. Tariffs will take effect on April 9. The president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, criticized on Thursday the imposition of Trump tariffs on EU products and promised to retal. Concerns about the impact of a global commercial war on climbing and a weakest American data series of what is expected to increase the fear of a strong global economic deceleration in the US, which drags the USD downward in general.
The governor of the Fed, Adriana Kugler, said Wednesday that the increase in tariffs in the US could feed a longer inflation than could be expected. Kugler said he supported maintaining the stable current interest rate while these risks continue for inflation. The operators expect the initial weekly applications for unemployment subsidy in the US, the final S&P services PMI and the ISM services PMI. If the reports show stronger results than expected, they could boost the USD and create a tail wind for the EUR/USD.
Euro Faqs
The euro is the currency of the 19 countries of the European Union that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most negotiated currency in the world, behind the US dollar. In 2022, it represented 31 % of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily business volume of more than 2.2 billion dollars a day. The EUR/USD is the most negotiated currency pair in the world, with an estimate of 30 %of all transactions, followed by the EUR/JPY (4 %), the EUR/GBP (3 %) and the EUR/AU (2 %).
The European Central Bank (ECB), based in Frankfurt (Germany), is the Eurozone reserve bank. The ECB establishes interest rates and manages monetary policy. The main mandate of the ECB is to maintain price stability, which means controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its main tool is the rise or decrease in interest rates. Relatively high interest rates (or the expectation of higher types) usually benefit the euro and vice versa. The GOVERNMENT BOOK of the ECB makes decisions about monetary policy in meetings that are held eight times a year. The decisions are made by the directors of the National Banks of the Eurozone and six permanent members, including the president of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.
Eurozone inflation data, measured by the harmonized consumer prices index (IPCA), are an important economic indicator for the euro. If inflation increases more than expected, especially if it exceeds 2% of the ECB, it forces the ECB to rise interest rates to control it again. Relatively high interest rates compared to their counterparts usually benefit the euro, since they make the region more attractive as a place for global investors to deposit their money.
Published data measure the health of the economy and can have an impact on the euro. Indicators such as GDP, manufacturing and services PMIs, employment and consumer trust surveys can influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the euro. Not only attracts more foreign investment, but it can encourage the ECB to raise interest rates, which will directly strengthen the euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the euro is likely to fall. The economic data of the four largest economies in the euro zone (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, since they represent 75% of the economy of the euro area.
Another important fact that is published on the euro is the commercial balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns with its exports and what you spend on imports during a given period. If a country produces highly demanded export products, its currency will gain value simply by the additional demand created by foreign buyers seeking to buy those goods. Therefore, a positive net trade balance strengthens a currency and vice versa in the case of a negative balance
Source: Fx Street
I am Joshua Winder, a senior-level journalist and editor at World Stock Market. I specialize in covering news related to the stock market and economic trends. With more than 8 years of experience in this field, I have become an expert in financial reporting.
