EUR/USD remains on the defensive amid modest USD strength, decline looks supported

  • EUR/USD sees fresh selling on Friday and erodes some of the previous day’s gains to a weekly high.
  • The appearance of some buying around the dollar is seen as a key factor putting pressure on the pair.
  • Falling US bond yields and a positive risk tone could cap dollar gains and help limit deeper losses in the pair.

The pair EUR/USD has come under fresh selling pressure on Friday and has moved away from its weekly high, around the 1.0600 level, reached on Thursday. The pair continues its intraday decline during the European session and is now trading at 1.0514, down -0.33% on the day.

The US dollar capped the post-FOMC pullback from two-decade highs and was again in demand on Friday, which in turn was seen as a key factor putting downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair. The dollar rally comes amid the expectations that the Fed will maintain its aggressive tightening policy to combat persistent inflation.

In fact, the Fed’s so-called dot plot showed the median rate projection to be 3.4% this year and 3.8% in 2023. However, investors were reassured to see that the rate will drop to 3.4% in 2024 and 2.5% in the long term, which was evident in the current fall in US Treasury bond yields.

Apart of this, signs of stability in financial markets could act as a dollar headwind and help limit deeper losses for the EUR/USD pair, At least for the moment. Market participants are now awaiting the release of the latest CPI data from the euro zone to gain further momentum ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday.

EUR/USD technical levels

EUR/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.0514
Today’s Daily Change -0.0035
Today’s Daily Change % -0.33
Today’s Daily Opening 1.0549
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1.0641
50 Daily SMA 1.0642
100 Daily SMA 1.0894
200 Daily SMA 1.1176
levels
Previous Daily High 1.0601
Previous Daily Minimum 1.0381
Previous Maximum Weekly 1.0774
Previous Weekly Minimum 1.0506
Monthly Prior Maximum 1.0787
Previous Monthly Minimum 1,035
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0517
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0465
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0419
Daily Pivot Point S2 1,029
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0199
Daily Pivot Point R1 1,064
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0731
Daily Pivot Point R3 1,086

Source: Fx Street

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