EUR/USD to move towards 1.0675/1.0700 area unless US employment surprises to the upside – ING

EUR/USD fluctuates above 1.06. ING economists analyze the pair’s prospects.

The market has closed the door to new increases from the ECB

Isabel Schnabel, of the European Central Bank, has stated that the ECB cannot close the door to further rate hikes. However, the market has ruled out any further rate hikes and is looking firmly to the 2024 easing cycle. This means that, despite the recent rate cut in the US, EUR:USD swap spreads Two years ago they have not reduced significantly and probably explains why EUR/USD is having a difficult time taking advantage of the softer Dollar environment.

However, given global conditions, we would favor EUR/USD towards the 1.0675/1.0700 area today, unless the US jobs report surprises to the upside.

Source: Fx Street

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