In the run-up to the first round of parliamentary elections, which will take place next Sunday, France has entered, where the results have already been announced in the 11 constituencies of French people living and voting abroad who went to the polls yesterday.
Given that the participation of the French abroad in the parliamentary elections is extremely limited (the abstention rate is around 80%), but also the fact that those who go to the polls are presumably close to the presidential majority (in the second round of the presidential elections). Macron received about 85% in April) it is rather risky to draw conclusions and estimates as to what the French will vote for next Sunday.
What is certain, however, is that in terms of yesterday’s vote, the candidates close to Macron came first in 8 of the 11 constituencies abroad and that in the second round, in 9 of the 11 constituencies, a candidate from the Macron faction will be defeated by a candidate of the Left, that is, of the Popular Union under Jean-Luc Melanson.
Out of the mainstream are the French of the unified constituencies of Greece, Italy, Turkey, Israel, where the center-right candidate Meyer Habib came first (28.5%) with the second Macron Deborah Abisrop-De Liem (27.7%) and where abstention was 88% of those registered to vote.
A blow to President Macron, however, is the exclusion from the second round of the party’s official candidate in the Iberian Peninsula and Monaco, former Socialist Prime Minister Manuel Valls. Macron agreed with his descent in this constituency provoked the reaction of the party’s MP elected in 2017, Stefan Vogeta, who came down as an independent and finally came second, leaving out Waltz.
It is noted that in the previous parliamentary elections (2017) the Macron faction had won in the second round 10 of the 11 constituencies, while it had a left-wing candidate against only in the 5 constituencies.
In any case, based on these marginal results, the picture that the polls in France are giving more and more lately seems to be confirmed, that is, that in the second round of the parliamentary elections, which will take place on June 19, the game will be played. between the Macron faction and the Melanson faction, with the other parties marginalized.
Most polls show the presidential majority gaining a majority in parliament, albeit after much suffering, winning more than 300 of the 577 seats in the French National Assembly. The credibility of these polls is completely questioned by Melanson, who speaking to friends of his party in Paris last week said that “the chances of winning are significant”.
Source: AMPE
Source: Capital
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