French President Emmanuel Macron’s party and its center-right allies may not secure an absolute majority in this month’s parliamentary elections, according to two opinion polls released today.
Macron won the April presidential election, but also needs a majority in parliament in the June 12 and 19 elections to implement his reform agenda.
In order for a party to secure an absolute majority in the National Assembly (Lower House), 289 seats are needed. Macron’s Renaissance party and its allies are likely to occupy only 250-290 seats, according to a poll by the Ifop Institute on behalf of LCI. Last week, Ifop gave Macron’s party and its affiliates 275-310 seats.
A more optimistic poll by the Harris Interactive-Toluna Institute for Challenges magazine predicts a victory for Macron’s camp with 285-335 seats – and in this case, however, there is a chance that it will not secure a majority.
A minority or coalition government would be an unusual scenario for modern France.
Veteran politician Jean-Luc Melanson’s left-wing coalition comes in second in the polls. Conservative Republicans could play a key role in forming a government if Macron’s “Together” alliance does not secure an absolute majority.
In the 2017 election, Macron’s LREM party comfortably won 314 seats but gradually lost seats, only to be left with only 270. However, it retained control of parliament thanks to its allies, the smaller parties, which have about 80 MPs together.
SOURCE: ΑΠΕ-ΜΠΕ
Source: Capital
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