GBP/JPY approaches the annual maximums above 198.00 in the middle of an appetite for moderate risk

  • The pound resumed its positive trend while the Yen refuge struggles in Risk markets
  • A divided committee of the BOJ questions future rates of rates and adds bearish pressure on the yen,
  • The GBP/JPY has risen 1.6% in the last five days, approaching the maximum of the year in 198.20 and 198.25.

The pound has reversed Tuesday’s setback and has resumed its largest upward trend on Wednesday, driven by the continuous appetite for risk. The yen is quoted down on all fronts after the high fire in the Middle East, with the Bank of Japan divided on a greater monetary hardening

A fragile peace between Iran and Israel remains for the second day, which maintains the mood of positive investors. However, American intelligence reported that the attacks could have delayed Tehran’s nuclear program only for months, which generates doubts about lasting peace

A divided BOJ questions future rates of rates

In Japan, macroeconomic data has exceeded expectations, with the index of advanced economic indicators improving against what is expected. On the other hand, however, the divergence between BOJ officials regarding the bank’s monetary policy acts as a wind against the JPY.

The opinions of the Japan Bank meeting last week revealed that the Committee is divided over its hardening cycle. Part of the Board is in favor of maintaining rates without changes until the inflationary impact of Trump’s tariffs is clarified, with a member asking for increases of decisive rates even in the uncertain economic context.

This divergence questions the standardization cycle of the monetary policy of the bank, adding pressure on the YEN, already affected by the appetite of investors by risk. The PAR has risen around 1.6% in the last five days of negotiation and is approaching the maximum of the year, in 198.20 and 198.25.

Japan Faqs Bank


The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is the Japanese Central Bank, which sets the country’s monetary policy. Its mandate is to issue tickets and carry out monetary and foreign exchange control to guarantee the stability of prices, which means an inflation objective around 2%.


The Bank of Japan has embarked on an ultralaxa monetary policy since 2013 in order to stimulate the economy and feed inflation in the middle of a low inflation environment. The bank’s policy is based on the Quantitative and Qualitative Easing (QQE), or ticket printing to buy assets such as state or business bonds to provide liquidity. In 2016, the Bank redoubled its strategy and relaxed even more policy by introducing negative interest rates and then directly controlling the performance of its state bonds to 10 years.


The massive stimulus of the Bank of Japan has caused the depreciation of the Yen in front of its main monetary peers. This process has been more recently exacerbated due to a growing divergence of policies between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which have chosen to abruptly increase interest rates to combat inflation levels that have been in historical maximums. Japan Bank’s policy to maintain low types has caused an increase in differential with other currencies, dragging the value of YEN.


The weakness of the YEN and the rebound in world energy prices have caused an increase in Japanese inflation, which has exceeded the 2% objective set by the Bank of Japan. Even so, the Bank of Japan judges that the sustainable and stable achievement of the 2%objective is not yet glimpsed, so an abrupt change of current monetary policy seems unlikely.

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Source: Fx Street

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