GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Struggles at the 50 DMA but solidifies gains around 160.70

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  • The GBP/JPY pair rose more than 200 points on Monday, ahead of the release of US inflation data.
  • GBP/JPY Price Analysis: In the short term, it could challenge 158.00; otherwise, a recovery to 162.00 is expected.

He GBP/JPY It breaks above the top of a trading range, moving sharply towards the top line of a descending triangle in a downtrend, at 161.19, the day’s high, but retraced some of its gains. Thus, the GBP/JPY pair is trading at 160.66, up 1.43% from its opening price.

After hitting a daily high in the session, GBP/JPY failed to hold gains above the 50-day EMA at 160.78. This would have opened the door to challenge the confluence of the 200 and 100 day EMAs, each at 161.81 and 162.00. However, the upper trend line of the symmetrical triangle limited the advance as bears piled in, dragging the pair lower.

In the short term, the GBP/JPY four hour chart shows the cross range bound, based on the EMAs below price. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned overbought but broke out of that territory, GBP/JPY fell from the daily/weekly highs.

If GBP/JPY turns lower, it will face a solid support zone. Firstly, the 200 EMA at 160.03, which, once broken, could pave the way towards the 159.14/32 area, the confluence of the 20/50/100 EMAs. A decisive break would send GBP/JPY plummeting towards the lower trend line of the ascending triangle around 158.18.

On the other hand, if GBP/JPY recovers to 161.80, it will open the door to challenge 162.00.

GBP/JPY 4-hour chart

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Last price today 160.72
daily change today 2.31
today’s daily variation 1.46
today’s daily opening 158.41
Trends
daily SMA20 159.44
daily SMA50 161.18
daily SMA100 163.43
daily SMA200 163.22
levels
previous daily high 159.64
previous daily low 157.53
Previous Weekly High 159.96
previous weekly low 157.43
Previous Monthly High 161.85
Previous monthly minimum 155.36
Fibonacci daily 38.2 158.34
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 158.83
Daily Pivot Point S1 157.42
Daily Pivot Point S2 156.42
Daily Pivot Point S3 155.32
Daily Pivot Point R1 159.52
Daily Pivot Point R2 160.63
Daily Pivot Point R3 161.62
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Source: Fx Street

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