GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Weakened around 164.40, above the 20-day EMA

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  • GBP/JPY loses 0.06% in a swing session.
  • Sentiment remains negative, limiting GBP/JPY gains.

The GBP/JPY falls and trims Monday’s earnings on bearish sentiment in financial markets, prompted by US Walmart blaming inflation as the main reason for lowering its earnings forecast. Meanwhile, Russia has cut gas flows through Nord Stream 1, and EU countries have agreed to use less natural gas for the coming winter, reigniting recession fears in the bloc. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY pair is trading at 164.39.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical Outlook

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GBP/JPY has a neutral-upward bias, and the failure of sellers on Tuesday to make a daily close below the 20 and 50 day EMAs at 164.05 and 163.68, respectively, opened the door for further gains. Notwithstanding the above, buyers need to push the GBP/JPY rate further above the 3-month rising trend line, now resistance, around 165.00 to build the case for a rally to 166.00. Otherwise, GBP/JPY sellers will continue to wait to drag prices below 163.00 if they want to regain control.

GBP/JPY 1 hour chart

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The GBP/JPY 1 hour chart shows the currency pair with a neutral bias. On Tuesday, the price action of the pair turned down between the limits of Monday, which means that a bullish chart pattern is forming on the daily chart, which would open the door for further gains. However, on its way up, GBP/JPY’s first resistance would be the 100 hourly EMA at 164.54. A break above it will expose the 200 hourly EMA at 164.76, followed by the July 25 daily and weekly high at 165.08.

On the other hand, the first support for the GBP/JPY would be the 20-day EMA at 164.39. Once broken, the next support would be the intersection of the 20 hour EMA and the daily pivot around 164.15, followed by 164.00.

Technical levels


Last Price Today 164.72
Today’s Daily Change 0.12
Today’s Daily Change % 0.07
Today’s Daily Opening 164.6
20 Daily SMA 164.15
50 Daily SMA 163.68
100 Daily SMA 162.11
200 Daily SMA 158.21
Previous Daily High 165.09
Previous Daily Minimum 163
Previous Maximum Weekly 166.25
Previous Weekly Minimum 163.01
Monthly Prior Maximum 168.74
Previous Monthly Minimum 160
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 164.29
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 163.8
Daily Pivot Point S1 163.37
Daily Pivot Point S2 162.14
Daily Pivot Point S3 161.28
Daily Pivot Point R1 165.46
Daily Pivot Point R2 166.32
Daily Pivot Point R3 167.55

Source: Fx Street

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