GBP/JPY Price prognosis: Wins impulse around 197.50, the bullish perspective remains intact

  • The GBP/JPY is strengthened around 197.50 in the first bars of the European session on Wednesday, adding 0.16% in the day.
  • The constructive perspective of the crossing remains intact above the 100 -day key EMA, with the RSI bullish indicator.
  • The immediate resistance level arises in the 198.90-199.00 area; The first level of support to watch is 196.28.

The GBP/JPY crossing gains strength around 197.50 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Japanese yen (JPY) weakens in front of the sterling pound (GBP) while the US president, Donald Trump, raises doubts about an agreement between the US. UU. And Japan. In addition, Trump said he could impose a 30% or 35% tariff on Japan imports, above the 24% tariff rate announced on April 2.

Technically, the constructive perspective of the GBP/JPY is maintained since the crossing is well backed above the 100 -day exponential mobile average (EMA) in the daily chart. The bullish impulse is reinforced by the relative force index (RSI), which is located above the midline about 58.00, suggesting that more increases seem favorable.

On the positive side, the first bullish barrier for the crossing arises in the region of 198.90-199.00, representing the upper limit of the Bollinger band and the psychological level. A decisive rupture above this level could gain more impulse and point to the level of crucial resistance at the round level of 200.00. Further north, the additional filter to monitor is 200.75, the maximum of May 28, 2024.

In the bearish case, the initial support level for the GBP/JPY is observed in 196.28, the minimum of July 1. A rupture of this level could drag at the crossroads around 194.18, the lower limit of the Bollinger band. The next containment level is in 193.85, the 100 -day EMA.

GBP/JPY DAILY GRAPH

And in Japanese faqs


The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the most negotiated currencies in the world. Its value is determined in general by the march of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the policy of the Bank of Japan, the differential between the yields of the Japanese and American bonds or the feeling of risk among the operators, among other factors.


One of the mandates of the Bank of Japan is the currency control, so its movements are key to the YEN. The BOJ has intervened directly in the currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of YEN, although it abstains often due to the political concerns of its main commercial partners. The current ultralaxy monetary policy of the BOJ, based on mass stimuli to the economy, has caused the depreciation of the Yen in front of its main monetary peers. This process has been more recently exacerbated due to a growing divergence of policies between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks, which have chosen to abruptly increase interest rates to fight against inflation levels of decades.


The position of the Bank of Japan to maintain an ultralaxa monetary policy has caused an increase in political divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This favors the expansion of the differential between the American and Japanese bonds to 10 years, which favors the dollar against Yen.


The Japanese Yen is usually considered a safe shelter investment. This means that in times of tension in markets, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to their supposed reliability and stability. In turbulent times, the Yen is likely to be revalued in front of other currencies in which it is considered more risky to invest.

Source: Fx Street

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