GBP/USD continues to press 1.2430 support weighed down by weak UK employment data

  • The pound falls after weak UK employment data and returns to touch the 1.2430 support zone.
  • The UK unemployment rate rose to 4.2% in the three months to February, compared to expectations for a reading of 4%.
  • Investors' attention is focused on Wednesday's British CPI data, looking for more clues on the outlook for the BoE's monetary policy.

The British Pound has resumed its overall bearish trend during the London session on Tuesday. Dismal employment figures in the UK have supported the theory that the BoE could start cutting rates earlier than expected, which has punished the Pound.

The number of job seekers rose below expectations, but wage growth slowed to 6% annually in the three months to February, from 6.1% in the previous period. But above all, the unemployment rate increased to 4.2%, disappointing the market that had forecast a rate of 4%, unchanged from the previous month.

The US dollar maintains its bullish trend intact, fueled by the rise in US Treasury yields. The benchmark 10-year yield is trading at year-to-date highs near 4.70%. The 2-year yield, the most closely related to interest rate expectations, remains at the key 5% level.

Later on Tuesday, BoE Governor Bailey is expected to meet the press, although the highlight of the week in the UK will be Wednesday's CPI data, which is expected to have cooled significantly. Also on Tuesday, Fed Governor Jerome Powell is expected to participate in a roundtable in Washington. His comments on monetary policy could have some impact on US Dollar crosses.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical Outlook

The bears have pushed the pair back to the bottom of the monthly descending channel, at 1.2430, which is being tested at the moment. Last Friday's low is just below, at 1.2430. A clear break of that support zone clears the way towards 1.2370. Below there is no support until 1.2220.

To the upside, the 1.2505 level should be broken to move towards 1.2565, where an outright order block could provide fresh impetus to the bears.

GBP/USD

Overview
Latest price today 1.2436
Today Daily Change -0.0010
Today's daily variation -0.08
Today's daily opening 1.2446
Trends
daily SMA20 1.2615
50 daily SMA 1.2653
SMA100 daily 1.2667
SMA200 daily 1.2582
Levels
Previous daily high 1.2499
Previous daily low 1.2436
Previous weekly high 1.2709
Previous weekly low 1.2427
Previous Monthly High 1.2894
Previous monthly low 1.2575
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 1,246
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2475
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2421
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2397
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2358
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2484
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2523
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2547

Source: Fx Street

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