GBP/USD falls amid escalating Middle East conflict and market volatility

  • The GBP/USD pair loses 0.12% and falls from 1.2163 to 1.2112, given the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
  • Gold prices exceed $2,000, reflecting the greater volatility of the markets and the feeling of risk aversion.
  • Upcoming economic releases in the UK and US, including PMI indices and monetary policy decisions, to provide further guidance.

GBP/USD posts minimal losses of 0.12% after reaching a daily high of 1.2163 on risk appetite, but news headlines showing an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East weighed on the pair. Therefore, the pair reversed its trading course at 1.2112, as sellers aim for a test of 1.2100.

USD/JPY reverses course from daily high as geopolitical tensions weigh on market sentiment

Volatility is the name of the game, as evidenced by Gold prices rising beyond $2,000 for the first time since May 16, 2023. News that Israel intensified its ground offensive in Gaza, destroying communications and services Internet in Palestine, according to Pallet, the Palestinian telecommunications company. Meanwhile, Israeli military authorities commented that they “have intensified attacks on Gaza. The Air Force is extensively striking underground and terrorist targets significantly.”

Reactions erupted around the world, with the United States urging Israel to stop a “full-scale” invasion and instead use a surgical approach with aircraft and special operations forces.

Aside from this, previously released US economic data shows that inflation continues to ease, but is struggling to get below the 3% threshold. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE, fell from 3.8% to 3.7% year-over-year in September, while the PCE was unchanged from 3.4% in August.

Recently, the University of Michigan revealed that consumer sentiment improved slightly, but inflation expectations deteriorated. Over a one-year period, Americans expect prices to rise 4.2%, while over a five-year period, they are expected to remain at 3%.

Next week, the British economic agenda will include the S&P Global/CIPS PMIs along with the Bank of England’s monetary policy decision. In the United States, the Conference Board’s consumer confidence, S&P Global and ISM manufacturing PMIs, non-farm payrolls and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision will be published.

GBP/USD Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Latest price today 1.2118
Today Daily Change -0.0011
Today’s daily variation -0.09
Today’s daily opening 1.2129
Trends
daily SMA20 1.2179
daily SMA50 1.2364
SMA100 daily 1.2575
SMA200 daily 1.2441
Levels
Previous daily high 1,214
Previous daily low 1,207
Previous weekly high 1,222
Previous weekly low 1,209
Previous Monthly High 1.2713
Previous monthly low 1.2111
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 1.2113
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2097
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2086
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2043
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2016
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2156
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2183
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2226

Source: Fx Street

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