GBP/USD falls below 1.2000 after weak UK data and strong USD

  • The US dollar strengthens with the entry into force of 2023, as the Dollar Index gains more than 1%.
  • The US S&P Global PMI index was unchanged, although it remained in contractive territory.
  • Manufacturing activity in the UK plunges for the fifth month in a row, raising fears of a UK recession.

The British pound (GBP) pared some of its previous losses against the US dollar (USD) after falling to the 100-day EMA, hitting a daily low of 11899. However, the rebound was short-lived, although the GBP/USD rose as high as the 1.2000 mark, but remained in negative territory during the day. At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at 1.1985, down 0.48% from its opening price.

The strength of the US dollar and the weakness of the UK PMI weighed on GBP/USD.

Wall Street caves to deteriorating sentiment. The US global manufacturing PMI for December was unchanged at 46.2 points. Siân Jones, Chief Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said: “The manufacturing sector posted weak results in the final stretch of 2022, as production and new orders contracted at steeper rates. Demand for goods fell as internal orders and export sales fell. The weakness of demand also caused downward adjustments in portfolio values.”

Apart from this, the session on Tuesday saw the revival of the dollar. The Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of six currencies, rose 1.12% to 104.653, hitting new two-week highs, putting a headwind for GBP/USD.

In the UK, the Manufacturing PMI, revealed by S&P Global/CIPS, fell to its lowest level in 31 months at 45.3, continuing its downward trend as it came down from November’s 46.5. It must be said that the index has remained below the neutral mark of 50 for five consecutive months. Digging deeper into the report, production, new orders, employment and inventories all slowed.

On the other hand, the US economic agenda remains busy with the publication of the minutes of the last Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting, together with the ISM PMI manufacturing index for December. As for the UK, mortgage approvals and loans will be announced.

GBP/USD Key Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Last price today 1.1991
Today Change Daily -0.0058
today’s daily variation -0.48
today’s daily opening 1.2049
Trends
daily SMA20 1.2151
daily SMA50 1.1922
daily SMA100 1.1667
daily SMA200 1.2041
levels
previous daily high 1.2102
previous daily low 1.2034
Previous Weekly High 1.2126
previous weekly low 1.2002
Previous Monthly High 1.2447
Previous monthly minimum 1.1992
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1,206
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2076
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2021
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1994
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1954
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2089
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2129
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2156

Source: Fx Street

You may also like