- US dollar extends decline, DXY falls 1% to its lowest in two weeks.
- Wall Street rebound fades, Dow Jones falls 1.10%.
- GBP/USD rebounds sharply and breaks above the 20-day SMA again.
The GBP/USD rises on Thursday, fully recovering from Wednesday’s decline, even as the stock market remains down and under pressure. The pair rose more than 150 pips from the daily low and recently reached 1.2512, the highest level since May 5th.
Weakening USD drives GBP higher
Broad dollar weakness boosted GBP/USD. DXY is down 1.05%, trading at two-week lows below 102.80, although risk aversion remains. The FTSE 100 fell 2.12% and on Wall Street, the Dow Jones fell 1.00%. The Nasdaq managed to rise to positive territory and gain 0.35%.
The demand for quality assets boosted public debt. The 10-year Treasury bond yield stands at 2.81%, a far cry from the 3% it hit on Wednesday. UK yields remained in the recent range (10-year yield around 1.85%). Falling yields weakened the dollar, which was the worst performer in the G10 space on Thursday.
US economic data showed initial jobless claims were the highest since January at 218,000, while continuing claims hit the lowest level since 1,970. Philadelphia Fed fell to 2.6 in May (vs. market consensus of 16). Existing home sales fell 2.4% in April. The UK retail sales report for April will be released on Friday.
GBP/USD breaks back above the 20 SMA
The rise in GBP/USD pushed the price back above the 20-day simple moving average. The pound is having a hard time holding above 1.2500. A clear daily close above would add support for an extension of the move higher.
A new failure here would expose the 1.2330 low again. Before that level, the 1.2400 zone offers interim support.
|Last Price Today||1.2419|
|Today’s Daily Change||0.0080|
|Today’s Daily Change %||0.65|
|Today’s Daily Opening||1.2339|
|20 Daily SMA||1.2481|
|50 Daily SMA||1.2851|
|100 Daily SMA||1.3177|
|200 Daily SMA||1.3375|
|Previous Daily High||1.2501|
|Previous Daily Minimum||1,233|
|Previous Maximum Weekly||1.2406|
|Previous Weekly Minimum||1.2155|
|Monthly Prior Maximum||1.3167|
|Previous Monthly Minimum||1.2411|
|Daily Fibonacci 38.2%||1.2395|
|Daily Fibonacci 61.8%||1.2436|
|Daily Pivot Point S1||1.2279|
|Daily Pivot Point S2||1.2219|
|Daily Pivot Point S3||1.2108|
|Daily Pivot Point R1||1,245|
|Daily Pivot Point R2||1.2561|
|Daily Pivot Point R3||1.2621|
Source: Fx Street