GBP/USD looking for recovery, while market sentiment improves, USD weakens

  • The GBP/USD pair is reaching Friday’s highs, reaching 1.2170.
  • Broad market sentiment is improving, pulling the US Dollar back heading into Friday’s close.
  • UK Retail Sales did not help the situation much, with print firmly to the downside.

The pair GBP/USD is trying to take profits before Friday’s close, reaching 1.2170 at midday on Friday. Despite falling retail sales in the UK, the British Pound (GBP) is benefiting from a general weakening of the US Dollar (USD).

UK retail sales fell 0.9% month-on-month in September, versus -0.1% expected.

UK retail sales on Friday disappointed expectations, as September retailers’ receipts delivered a dismal -0.9% versus -0.1% forecast, intensifying the decline from August’s 0.4%.

With a quiet Monday on the economic calendar, Sterling traders will be keeping an eye on Tuesday’s UK Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and jobs numbers.

UK job additions are expected to decline by a further 198,000 in August, as investors expect a slight improvement from -207,000 in July, and markets expect a slight improvement in the UK flash PMI, with the Composite PMI expected to come in at 48.8 compared to last 48.5.

GBP/USD Technical Outlook

The British Pound is trading at 1.2150 against the US Dollar after hitting a high of 1.2170 on Friday, and the GBP/USD pair is seeing a recovery from the day’s lows near 1.2093.

Despite Friday’s moderate recovery, the GBP/USD pair remains firmly planted in a bearish zone. Higher up on the chart, the 50-day SMA is confirming a bearish crossover of the 200-day SMA, and any technical recovery on the chart will be primed for a clash with falling SMA resistance.

Technical support currently lies at the October low at 1.2037, and a break of this level sets up GBP/USD for a bearish run towards an early-year support zone near the 1.1900 area.

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Latest price today 1.2153
Today I change daily 0.0009
Today’s daily variation 0.07
Today’s daily opening 1.2144
Trends
daily SMA20 1.2185
daily SMA50 1.2419
SMA100 daily 1.2589
SMA200 daily 1.2444
Levels
Previous daily high 1.2192
Previous daily low 1,209
Previous weekly high 1.2337
Previous weekly low 1.2123
Previous Monthly High 1.2713
Previous monthly low 1.2111
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 1.2153
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2129
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2092
Daily Pivot Point S2 1,204
Daily Pivot Point S3 1,199
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2194
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2244
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2296

Source: Fx Street

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