GBP/USD oscillates trendless around 1.2140, focus on US CPI.

  • GBP/USD is almost flat, unable to capitalize on US dollar weakness.
  • Powell’s speech did not provide any forward-looking guidance for the February 1 FOMC meeting.
  • GBP/USD Price Analysis: In the short term, it could test the 200-day SMA.

The British pound (GBP) has been unable to sustain earlier gains against the US dollar (USD) and increased selling pressure has dragged down the GBP/USD down after hitting a daily high at 1.2178. Upbeat market sentiment, reflected in US stock indices, has failed to boost sterling. At time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2145, slightly below its opening price.

GBP/USD prepares for December US CPI report

Wall Street has opened with solid gains after US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on Tuesday provided no forward-looking guidance. However, according to Rabobank Analysts, “the president was nonetheless able to squeeze in reference to the Fed prioritize inflation over employment in the short termwhen he said that the case for the independence of monetary policy lies in the benefits of insulating monetary policy decisions from short-term political considerations.”

Investors shrugged off Powell’s words and US stock markets closed higher on Tuesday. In the meantime, GBP/USD failed to gain traction even as the dollar continued to weaken. The DXY Dollar Index, which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of major currencies, lost 0.08% to 103,193.

The absence of economic data releases in the UK keeps traders awaiting the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday. Estimates for headline inflation are 0% month-on-month; in annual terms, a drop to 6.5% is expected. Stripping out volatile elements, core CPI is forecast to be 0.3%m/m, while on a yearly basis it is estimated to be 5.7%.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical Perspective

GBP/USD price action over the past three days has formed a bullish harami candlestick pattern, which suggests that the sellers are coming in. But it must be said that the 200 day EMA in 1.2107 it would be hard to break for sellers. However, if broken, it could open the door for a retest of GBP/USD in 1.2100followed by a test to the 20 day EMA at 1.2080.

GBP/USD technical levels

Overview
Last price today 1.2149
daily change today -0.0003
today’s daily variation -0.02
today’s daily opening 1.2152
Trends
daily SMA20 1.2096
daily SMA50 1.1984
daily SMA100 1.1676
daily SMA200 1,201
levels
previous daily high 1.2199
previous daily low 1,211
Previous Weekly High 1.2102
previous weekly low 1.1841
Previous Monthly High 1.2447
Previous monthly minimum 1.1992
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1.2144
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2165
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2108
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2065
Daily Pivot Point S3 1,202
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2197
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2242
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2285

Source: Fx Street

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