GBP/USD Price Analysis: Ascending triangle breakout targets 1.2158

  • GBP/USD remains near two-year lows due to risk aversion and UK growth woes.
  • GBP/USD confirmed a breakout of the ascending triangle on the 4-hour chart on Wednesday.
  • Bears brace for further decline towards pattern target of 1.2158.

The GBP/USD trades back below 1.2200 after a temporary pullback to near the 1.2230 area as disappointing UK GDP data continues to boost sterling bears.

The UK economy shrank 0.1% in March, while it expanded by only 0.8% quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter of 2022, which backs Bank of England forecasts of likely recession later this year.

Weak UK growth data combined with market risk aversion keep the downward pressure on the pair intact.

Investors brushed off upbeat comments from BOE Lieutenant Governor Dave Ramsden, who said that “the central bank is not talking bad about the economy in the forecasts“.

If we look at the GBP/USD 4-hour chart, Wednesday’s confirmation of an ascending triangle breakoutbelow the rising trend line support at 1.2310, has opened the doors for a test of the pattern target at 1.2158.

The RSI is entering the oversold territory around 30, which allows for more room to fall.

Should the aforementioned key support break, a test of the round level of 1.2100.

GBP/USD 4 hour chart

gbpusd

On the other hand, any recovery attempt must be accepted above daily highs of 1.2255.

The next upside target is seen at the downsloping 21-period simple moving average at 1.2302above which triangle support, now resistance, will come into play in 1.2323.

GBP/USD additional technical levels

GBP/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.2206
Today’s Daily Change -0.0049
Today’s Daily Change % -0.40
Today’s Daily Opening 1.2255
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1.2661
50 Daily SMA 1.2938
100 Daily SMA 1.3233
200 Daily SMA 1.3413
levels
Previous Daily High 1.24
Previous Daily Minimum 1.2238
Previous Maximum Weekly 1.2638
Previous Weekly Minimum 1.2276
Monthly Prior Maximum 1.3167
Previous Monthly Minimum 1.2411
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2338
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2195
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2135
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2032
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2358
Daily Pivot Point R2 1,246
Daily Pivot Point R3 1,252

Source: Fx Street

You may also like